Curated · Resource

Good bets vs Bad bets

Last updated: 🌞7th Feb 2024
  1. Kodak vs Canon/Nikon: Kodak invented the digital camera but chose to stick with film photography, fearing it would cannibalize their film sales. Canon and Nikon fully embraced digital, revolutionizing photography.
  2. Borders vs Amazon: Borders chose not to invest in e-commerce, instead partnering with Amazon for online sales. Amazon bet on online retail and transformed into a dominant global marketplace, while Borders eventually went bankrupt.

  3. Blockbuster vs Netflix: Blockbuster stuck to brick-and-mortar rental stores, rejecting an offer to buy Netflix, which doubled down on streaming and subscription models, eventually becoming a media giant.

  4. BlackBerry vs Apple/Google: BlackBerry bet on physical keyboards and enterprise-focused devices, while Apple and Google bet on touchscreens and apps, transforming the smartphone industry.

  5. Yahoo vs Google: Yahoo stuck with being a web portal and advertising, rejecting an opportunity to buy Google early on, while Google bet on search, algorithmic ad placement, and data, eventually becoming a tech titan.

  6. MySpace vs Facebook: MySpace bet on user-driven customization and a chaotic platform, while Facebook focused on clean design and real-world identity connections, leading to Facebook’s global dominance in social media.

  7. Sears vs Walmart: Sears bet on catalog sales and large department stores, while Walmart focused on supply chain efficiencies and low prices through aggressive store expansion, overtaking Sears as a retail giant.

  8. Palm vs iPhone: Palm bet on its PalmPilot and early smartphone technology with physical buttons and styluses, while Apple reimagined the smartphone with the iPhone’s touchscreen interface, eventually dominating the market.

  9. Nokia vs Android/Apple: Nokia bet on Symbian, a proprietary operating system, and resisted moving to touchscreens, while Android and Apple embraced a new user experience and open app ecosystems, leading to Nokia’s downfall.

  10. IBM vs Microsoft: IBM bet on hardware and mainframes, while Microsoft bet on software and personal computing with Windows, eventually making software the dominant player in the PC era.
  11. Western Union vs Alexander Graham Bell (1870s): Western Union dominated telegraphy but dismissed Bell’s telephone patent, considering it a toy. Bell bet on voice communication, leading to the rise of telecommunications, while Western Union faded from relevance.

  12. Xerox vs Apple (1970s-1980s): Xerox’s Palo Alto Research Center (PARC) developed groundbreaking tech like the graphical user interface (GUI) and mouse, but the company failed to capitalize on it. Meanwhile, Steve Jobs bet on this technology, integrating it into the Macintosh, revolutionizing personal computing.

  13. Henry Ford vs Electric Cars (1900s): In the early 20th century, electric vehicles were popular, but Henry Ford bet on gasoline-powered cars with the mass-produced Model T. Gasoline became dominant for decades, while electric vehicles disappeared until their resurgence a century later.

  14. AT&T vs VoIP Technology (1990s-2000s): AT&T stuck with traditional telecommunication models, resisting voice over internet protocol (VoIP). Companies like Skype bet on VoIP and transformed how people communicate globally, reshaping the telecom industry.

  15. IBM vs DEC (1980s): IBM bet on the personal computer, while DEC (Digital Equipment Corporation) clung to its success with minicomputers. As personal computing exploded, DEC fell behind, eventually disappearing, while IBM’s PC business shaped the modern computing era.

  16. Commodore vs Apple/Microsoft (1980s-1990s): Commodore bet on its Amiga computer with superior graphics but failed to market it effectively. Meanwhile, Apple and Microsoft bet on user-friendly interfaces and robust software ecosystems, which led them to dominate the PC era.

  17. RCA vs Sony (1950s-1960s): RCA bet on black-and-white television and vacuum tubes, while Sony, a smaller Japanese company, bet on transistors and color TV. Sony’s transistor-based technology paved the way for the modern electronics industry, while RCA declined.

  18. Polaroid vs Digital Photography (1990s): Polaroid stuck to instant film cameras, believing digital photography was a fad. Meanwhile, companies like Canon and Sony bet on digital, leading to the downfall of Polaroid as photography shifted entirely to digital formats.

  19. Tower Records vs iTunes (1990s-2000s): Tower Records bet on physical music stores, even as digital music started to rise. Apple bet on iTunes and digital music distribution, changing how people consumed music and leading to Tower Records’ bankruptcy.

  20. Eastman Kodak vs Fujifilm (2000s): Kodak invented digital photography but refused to abandon film, fearing it would hurt their core business. Fujifilm, on the other hand, diversified into digital photography and other industries like cosmetics. Fujifilm thrived while Kodak filed for bankruptcy.